Monday, May 25, 2009
Video - Geithner and Stress Tests and Financial System analysis
Saturday, May 23, 2009
Talk about smart kids . . .
Oh by the way, Teach's API score is 990! For those of you who are not aware of API scores, 1000 is tops!
The Dillards
Although the Dillards aren't single-handedly responsible for bluegrass' migration from Appalachia to California, there's no denying they provided vital transportation. Raised in Salem, Mo., brothers Rodney and Doug Dillard jammed in a string of outfits before forming their own in 1960. The newly christened Dillards soon relocated to Los Angeles, where they made several appearances as the Darlings on the Andy Griffith Show. More importantly, the group became a pillar of the burgeoning folk/country-rock scene, along with the Byrds, Gosdin Brothers, Clarence White, etc. In 1967 Doug jumped ship to team up with ex-Byrd Gene Clark in the now legendary Dillard and Clark.
Friday, May 22, 2009
Investing according to Doug Kass - Seabreeze Partners
This is, however, easier said (or written) than done. It requires patience and, at times, a variant or contrarian view and strength of analytical conviction. It often also requires one to ignore the business media's staccato repeated sound bytes of bullish breathlessness. Their intentions might be honorable, but quite frankly, the media, with few exceptions, have no or little skin in the game. And it often requires market participants to ignore the delivery of the talking heads whose platform is the media and whom are too frequently theatrical and shallow in their "advice" rather than substantive in their analysis.
Monday, May 11, 2009
Longest insult in Shakespeare
thanks to Jim Cooper, a friend of my sister Sarah's who I met at the Parkfield Bluegrass Festival this past weekend.
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Talk about strange accounting, did you hear about Citigroup
Tuesday, May 05, 2009
The Edge
Sunday, May 03, 2009
Universities overbuilt during the bubble too
“The spending binge by colleges and universities was part of the same trend that created the bubble in the rest of the economy,” says Ronald Ehrenberg, an economics professor at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, and author of “Tuition Rising: Why College Costs So Much” (Harvard University Press, 2000). “Now we’re seeing it burst.”
From Harvard University to California’s 3 million-student community college network, the American system of higher education is in turmoil. The economic crash is upending each step in the equation that families use to determine where students will spend four of their most formative -- and expensive -- years. Today is the deadline that most schools set to receive a decision from accepted applicants.
Saturday, May 02, 2009
Video - Tiger's Masterly Chip
Friday, May 01, 2009
Thursday, April 30, 2009
F*&% The Rating Agencies
April 29 (Bloomberg) -- Ron Grassi says he thought he had retired five years ago after a 35-year career as a trial lawyer.
Now Grassi, 68, has set up a war room in his Tahoe City, California, home to single-handedly take on Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings. He’s sued the three credit rating firms for negligence, fraud and deceit.
Grassi says the companies’ faulty debt analyses have been at the core of the global financial meltdown and the firms should be held accountable. Exhibit One is his own investment. He and his wife, Sally, held $40,000 in Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. bonds because all three credit raters gave them at least an A rating -- meaning they were a safe investment -- right until Sept. 15, the day Lehman filed for bankruptcy.
“They’re supposed to spot time bombs,” Grassi says. “The bombs exploded before the credit companies acted.”
Remembering Clarence White
Wednesday, April 29, 2009
Video - Yankee Doodle Dandy
Tuesday, April 28, 2009
Sunday, April 26, 2009
Friday, April 24, 2009
Video - The Mask
Thursday, April 23, 2009
Video - Niagara Falls
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Frugality
Los Angeles Homeless Court
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Video - Paths of Glory
Monday, April 20, 2009
Equity withdrawal data
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Sandbags, where do they go to die?
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
It's Masters Time and the Foreigners are here big
Tuesday, April 07, 2009
Housing costs and inflation
With home price increases out of the CPI and the price-to-rent ratio rapidly increasing, an important component of inflation remained outside the index. In 2004 alone, the price-rent ratio increased 12.3%. Inflation for that year was underestimated by 2.9 percentage points (since “owners’ equivalent rent” is about 23% of the CPI). If home-ownership costs were included in the CPI, inflation would have been 6.2% instead of 3.3%.
With nominal interest rates around 6% and inflation around 6%, the real interest rate was near zero, so household borrowing took off. As measured by the Case-Shiller 10 city index, the accumulated inflation in home-ownership costs between January 1999 and June 2006 was 151%, but the CPI measured a mere 23% increase. As the Federal Reserve monitored inflation in the early part of this decade, home-price increases were no longer visible in the CPI, so the lax monetary policy continued. Even after the Fed began to slowly raise the fed-funds rate in May 2004, the average rate remained low and the bubble continued to inflate for two more years.”
WSJ - Steven Gjerstad and Nobel Laurelate Vernon Smith
Wednesday, April 01, 2009
Remembering Maurice Jarre
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Way to go Golden One Credit Union
Monday, March 30, 2009
Kayaker comes to aid of sailors



Yesterday, Toni noticed the Lido 14 sailing on the lake then a few minutes later noticed they had flipped (about 300 yards from our dock). we knew how cold the water of Laguna Lake is and watched to see how fast they would right the boat . . . . minutes passed and they didn't right it and they weren't moving with the current so we decided to call 911 and I donned my wetsuit and rowed the kayak out to see if I could help. One of the toughest rowing experiences I've ever had as the current, chop and wind was in my face the whole time. The 3 high school kids were glad to see me and cold. I was able to tow them back to our dock where a fleet of fire engines and other trucks were waiting to help them. This morning there was a photo and caption in the local newspaper click here
Paul Cezanne - THE Impressionist
Sunday, March 29, 2009
Nassim Taleb on leverage
"We cannot have both debt leverage and a hyper-efficient system—the volatility is just too great. What Taleb explains—which no one else does—is that efficiency is already a form of leverage. A highly efficient system removes slack and magnifies small changes. Think of the efficient system as a high-performance aircraft. Each minute of steering input creates a rapid and violent shift of course, speed, or altitude. The system itself is souped up even before you add the debt. Once you do, the pilot is equally jacked up and twitchy, creating an explosive combination. Now imagine that fighter jet trying to fly in a 1,000-plane formation, and you get an idea of the world financial system in the 21st century.
We can’t erase the technology that created the planes, so we’ll have to make sure we fly sober, maybe even with an onboard computer that dampens the controls. That means getting rid of the debt. It’s that simple."
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Friday, March 27, 2009
Down and out in the unemployment line
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Video - Mork and Mindy (Diablo Canyon)
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Why some traders succeed
-John Coates, University of Cambridge neuroscientist and former trader
Monday, March 23, 2009
Unfunded Pension update
CalPERS sold off all tobacco related holdings from their portfolio and did little to affect tobacco growing, distribution, etc. but did cost themselves. Since then, the AMEX Tobacco Index has outperformed the S&P 500 by more than 250% and the Nasdaq by 500%. That one decision cost pensioners more than $1 billion dollars according to a 2008 report by CalSTRS.
I'm not sure what the current impact those decisions have had but it can't have been any better.
Saturday, March 21, 2009
Winston Churchill quote
Friday, March 20, 2009
1st day of Spring
Liberals vs Conservatives
The deepest belief of the modern economist is that the economy is a self-stabilizing system. This means that, even if nothing is done, normal rates of employment and production will someday return. Practically all modern economists believe this, often without thinking much about it. (Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said it reflexively in a major speech in London in January: "The global economy will recover." He did not say how he knew.) The difference between conservatives and liberals is over whether policy can usefully speed things up. Conservatives say no, liberals say yes, and on this point Obama’s economists lean left. Hence the priority they gave, in their first days, to the stimulus package.
Thursday, March 19, 2009
American Express jettisoning customers ???
Darn, I meant to sign up for those puppies!
Setting the stage for INFLATION
This is called monetizing debt, the cause of currency devaluation. Take a look at what happened to the USD vs EURO yesterday after the announcement.
Monday, March 16, 2009
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Video - Kali and the Hand Shadow
Friday, March 13, 2009
for some Madoff victims, this was the first time they lost in a Ponzi scheme!
Thursday, March 12, 2009
Madoffville
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Crater Lake
Wednesday, March 04, 2009
Remembering Barney McCay
Tuesday, March 03, 2009
All we need is >>>>>
Sunday, March 01, 2009
Saturday, February 28, 2009
TEN BEST CADDY REPLIES
Caddy: "Think you can keep your head down that long?"
#9 Golfer: "I'd move heaven and earth to break 100 on this course.
Caddy: "Try heaven, you've already moved most of the earth."
#8 Golfer: "Do you think that my game is improving?"
Caddy: "Yes sir, you miss the ball much closer now."
#7 Golfer: "Do you think I can get there with a 5 iron?"
Caddy: "Eventually!"
#6 Golfer: "You got to be the worst caddy in the world."
Caddy: "I don't think so sir. That would be too much of a coincidence."
#5 Golfer: "Please stop checking your watch all the time."
Caddy: "It's not a watch, it is a compass."
#4 Golfer: "How do you like my game?"
Caddy: "Very good sir, but personally I prefer golf."
#3 Golfer: "Do you think it is a sin to play on Sunday?"
Caddy: "The way you play, sir, it is a sin on any day."
#2 Golfer: "This is the worst course I've ever played on."
Caddy: "This isn't the golf course. We left that an hour ago."
#1 Golfer: "That can't be my ball, it is too old."
Caddy: "It's been a long time since we teed off, sir
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Best Comeback Line
Q: "Officer -- did you see my client fleeing the scene?"
A: "No sir. But I subsequently observed a person matching the description of the offender, running several blocks away."
Q: "Officer -- who provided this description?"
A: "The officer who responded to the scene."
Q: "A fellow officer provided the description of this so-called offender. Do you trust your fellow officers?"
A: "Yes, sir. With my life."
Q: "With your life? Let me ask you this then officer. Do you have a room where you change your clothes in preparation for your daily duties?"
A: "Yes sir, we do!"
Q: "And do you have a locker in the room?"
A: "Yes sir, I do."
Q: "And do you have a lock on your locker?"
A: "Yes sir."
Q: "Now why is it, officer, if you trust your fellow officers with your life, you find it necessary to lock your locker in a room you share with these same officers?"
A: "You see, sir -- we share the building with the court complex, and sometimes lawyers have been known to walk through that room."
The courtroom erupted in laughter, and a prompt recess was called. The officer on the stand has been nominated for this year's "Best Comeback" Line -- I think he'll win.
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Video - Craig and Sasha
The list of failures continues to increase
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Retracement
Technically, 7,470 in the DJIA is the 50% retracement of the entire bull market that began in August 1982. At 7,100, we not only cut in half the October 2007 highs of 14,198.50, but we have given back 50% of the 27 year move from the start of the big bull market of the 1980s to yesterday. In addition to a 50% retracement in the DJIA from the 1982, we have also seen a 50% retracement of the move from 1932 low to the all-time high in 2007. 50% retracement of 41 - 14,164 = 7,103. Yesterday’s close was 7,115.
Monday, February 23, 2009
Academy Awards Highlight: Jerry Lewis
Sunday, February 22, 2009
The Alaskan King Crab Leg Indicator
Golf Density - per capita players
Saturday, February 21, 2009
On the road to fuel efficiency . . . .
In the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007, Congress allocated $25 billion to "reequipping, expanding, or establishing manufacturing facilities in the United States to produce qualifying advanced technology vehicles or qualifying components." However, all of the $25 billion was subsequently relocated to provide bridge loans to the auto industry as part of their bailout announced on Nov. 20, 2008.
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Video - Dave and Craig playing music
Clawing Back - it's time has come
At Davos 2009, one of the 2 horsemen was quoted as saying that people like Robert Rubin, who received over $100 million serving as chairman of New York-based Citigroup Inc.'s executive committee, need to be punished for their failure to understand the risks their institutions were taking. He said that unless Rubin and others like him are made to mandatorily return their bonuses or are given some other punishment, the system that regrettably emerges is one "in which it’s the worst of capitalism and socialism, a situation in which profits were privatized and losses were socialized. We taxpayers have the worst. This will stand as the biggest government-sponsored scam in history".
Bankers are way ahead; they MISPREPRESENTED their risks; the small guy is paying the price.
We cannot live in a society without accountability.
Note: Obama is "reducing" future bonuses after the recent scandal (they used the bailout money to pay themselves). This is outrageously insufficient. We need PAST bonuses to be returned to society --so we stop the cycle of moral hazard.
[Note: there are laws that make IRRESPONSIBLE persons in corporations liable for their sins against the public.]
[Note: the only country that clawed back bonuses so far is Switzerland, though by social pressure --the mechanism is certainly easy to implement].
Do you have an tax deferred annuity? Is it safe?
How Safe is an Annuity?
Your tax-deferred annuity is safe. A qualified legal reserve life insurance company is required to meet its contractual obligations to you. These reserves must, at all times, be equal to the withdrawal value of your annuity policy. In addition to reserves, state law also requires certain levels of capital and surplus to further increase policyholder protection. Legal reserve refers to the strict financial requirements that must be met by an insurance company to protect the money paid in by all policyholders. These reserves must be at all times, equal to the withdrawal value (principal plus interest less early withdrawal fees, if any) of every annuity policy. State insurance laws also require that a life insurance company must maintain certain minimum levels of capital and surplus, which provide additional policyholder protection.
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
Video - Tim Conway
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
Breast Cancer prevention and reseacrch
Breast cancer has been around for decades, but it does not have to be our future. We can be the generation that eliminates breast cancer by identifying what causes this disease and stopping it before it starts. Sign up for your sister, mother, daughter, granddaughter, best friend, and the woman you met last week.
click here
Reducing Bloated Government
Amen, we do have too many layers of management in government . . . . and don't get me going on public school administration!
Monday, February 16, 2009
How money gets transferred
Barry Ritholz . . the big picture blog
Sunday, February 15, 2009
Video - How one golf hole can ruin your day
Saturday, February 14, 2009
Friday, February 13, 2009
Video - B2 Bomber over the Rose Parade 2009
Not the right spirit but who's surprised?
The suburban Los Angeles Democrat made the $150,000 loan in 1998, when she was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives. Through Dec. 31, her campaign committee has used donations to pay Napolitano $221,780 of interest while reducing the principal by just $64,727, a review of her Federal Election Commission filings shows.
Thursday, February 12, 2009
The inauguration like you've never seen it before
The control for the picture is in the upper left. Press the + sign to zoom in, or arrows to move right, left, up or down. If the picture is fuzzy, give it a second to clarify. The technology is truly amazing, and it's un-classified! Imagine what spy agencies can see with classified technology! Grab the photo to move left, right, up down.
Take note Obama (center stage) and then look behind him. There's Clarence Thomas, Dick Cheney in his wheelchair, Clinton, Gore, Bush and even the pathetic simpleton Dan Quayle! Justice Scalia is present. The clarity is amazing!
click here
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Trading and Surfing
If you’re always ready for the opportunity and stay in the moment. If you keep reacting to everything that comes your way. If you keep your options open and have defined objectives, are prepared to kick out at any instant when you realize there is no more hope of succeeding, you can escape and paddle out to do it again (read – preserve your capital).
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
A gigabyte
Monday, February 09, 2009
Video - 100 Iron Men
Sunday, February 08, 2009
Video - Extras - timezones
Defined-Benefit Pension Plan underfundednes
Saturday, February 07, 2009
More on Your Own Bliss
1 Decide what kind of day you want and what kind of feelings you want to have. Tell yourself, “I will make no decisions by myself.”
2 Be still and listen for the answer you get. The answer may come in any form – a voice, a picture, an external sign, or just a sense of knowingness. The answer is everywhere and you may find it anywhere.
3 If you have a problem, then the answer you get may not resolve the problem in the manner you wanted. As a result, have no investment in the answer to any question you ask. Accept the answer you get and be patient. All things will aid you in discovering the truth. Keep an open mind.
4 Periodically, throughout the day think about the kind of day you would like to experience. And then say to yourself, “If I make no decisions by myself, then this is the day that will be given to me.” If in doubt, just listen. Allow the day to flow.
5 If you are unwilling to be patient for an answer, then you have already judged for yourself. If so, then realize that you have asked a question by yourself and determined the answer in your own terms. The right answer is not forced upon you. Instead, it comes with a willingness to listen. If you are upset, it is because your perception is wrong. When you criticize what you see, your bliss pathway will become invisible.
6 Once again, remember the kind of day you want and recognize that something has now occurred which is not a part of it. As a result, just let your question go.
7 If you can’t let your question go, then you can at least begin to change your mind by saying the following: “At least I can decide that I do not like how I feel now.”
8 As a result, realize that your judgment may have been wrong. This will remind you that internal guidance is not being forced on you. Instead, it is something you need because you do not like the way you feel.
9 Until you reach this point, you will think that your happiness depends upon your being right. But now you can discern that you would be better off if you were wrong. As a result, you can say in perfect honesty, “I want another way to look at this.”
10 The final step is to acknowledge that you are not opposed to being helped and ask, “Perhaps there is another way to look at this. What can I lose by asking?” Listen with assurance. You must desire to change your perception of the world and be willing to see another way.
This ten step procedure was adapted from A Course in Miracles and from Lee Coit’s Listening. To learn more about listening to your inner voice, I recommend the tape program, Listening, Accepting Being, by Lee Coit click here for more of his work
Friday, February 06, 2009
Following your bliss
Unemployment Statistics
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Batman and Robin quotes
Batman: "You've made a hasty generalization, Robin. It's a bad habit to get into."
Robin: "That's an impossible shot, Batman."
Batman: "That's a negative attitude, Robin."
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Alfred Hitchcock's style
"I tell the story through that lens, so I need you to move when my camera moves, stop when my camera stops. I'm confident you'll be able to find your motivation to justify the motion. I'll be happy to work with you, but I will not change the timing of my camera."
"Either they wear the clothes and do the part the way I want or they're not going to be in it."
from Spellbound by Beauty by Donald Spoto
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Video - The Boss was good but Prince was the best!
Monday, February 02, 2009
The passing of Lance McCollum
Friday, January 30, 2009
Video - Dolphin Stampede
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Why do you cry when you cut onions?
Onions contain a lot of sulfur. When you cut them, the cells burst and release enzymes. These enzymes turn sulfur into a gas. The gas into your eyes and forms sulfuric acid. One way to prevent the tears is to rub a cut lemon on the knife. Watch the Mythbusters prove it here on YouTube
Sports Trivia Question
Wilt Chamberlain in Conan the Barbarian
learned this from the movie "Shotgun Solutions"
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
The insignificance of wine ratings
Let's just say that the quality of a wine's taste is pretty complex. Skeptical of the numbering system yet? OK, scientists have designed ways to measure wine experts taste descrimination directly using a wine triangle (each tastor is given 3 wines, two of which are idnentical). The mission is to choose the odd sample. In many studies over the years, experts could only do it only 2/3 of the time. "On many levels the ratings system is nonsensical," says the editor of Wine and Spirits Magazine. But why does the system endure? Because people are attracted to and have faith more in numbers than other systems of rating.
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Ockham's Razor
There is a time-honored principle called Ockham's Razor, which states that the explanation for any phenomenon should focus only on the essential and relevant elements, avoiding as many unnecessary “second-order” factors as possible. Albert Einstein put it this way: “A theory should be a simple as possible, but no simpler.” From the standpoint of economic stimulus, Ockham's Razor suggests that we will fail as a nation to address the current economic crisis if we fail to address the source of that crisis. Again, this means focusing first on bank capital and mortgage foreclosures.
In short, the essential problem is not “insufficient aggregate demand” but rather risk-aversion and anticipatory saving triggered by fear of financial instability. Ockham's razor cuts straight to bank capital and foreclosure risk. We can address a much wider range of interests in the cause of economic stimulus, but if we fail to address the central cause of the present economic crisis, the attempt to increase “aggregate demand” will predictably fail.
Liz atop Arthur's Seat

Arthur's Seat is the main peak of the group of hills which form most of Holyrood Park, a remarkably wild piece of highland landscape in the center of the city of Edinburgh, about a mile to the east of Edinburgh Castle. Here's a photo of my niece atop the peak. Click here to learn more.
Monday, January 26, 2009
Playing for Change - a new way to create and collaborate
Saturday, January 24, 2009
Human Perception
Friday, January 23, 2009
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Agnotology
Robert Proctor doesn't think so. A historian of science at Stanford, Proctor points out that when it comes to many contentious subjects, our usual relationship to information is reversed: Ignorance increases. He has developed a word inspired by this trend: agnotology. Derived from the Greek root agnosis, it is "the study of culturally constructed ignorance." We need to fashion information tools that are designed to combat agnotological rot. Wikipedia is one of the solutions: It encourages users to build real knowledge through consensus, and the result manages to (mostly) satisfy even people who hate each other's guts. Because the most important thing these days might just be knowing what we know.
Read the full story on how this word came into being and it's impact on all of us click here
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
Geithner, the incoming Treasury Secretary ooooops
The creepy spider
Put the cursor anywhere on the map and then hit the space bar and it leaves little bugs. Watch the spider go after them and when she catches them they disappear; this is totally crazy but fun to play!



