Monday, May 25, 2009

Video - Geithner and Stress Tests and Financial System analysis

Tim Geithner was on Charlie Rose recently and I was impressed by how he explained the vital importance of restoring confidence to the financial system. here is a short portion of that video

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Talk about smart kids . . .

Teach Elementary School of San Luis Obispo has a 4th grade class which created a film that won an award at a recent film festival. The film "San Luis Obispo Historical Buildings" was created in the school's digital media lab; the students used Adobe Premiere Elements movie editing software to combine images with narration record on a homemade soundstage. You can buy a DVD for $10 from the school directly. for more information click here

Oh by the way, Teach's API score is 990! For those of you who are not aware of API scores, 1000 is tops!

The Dillards

Back in the 60's I discovered the Dillards at the Ice House in Pasadena and fell in love with bluegrass music, was awed by Doug's banjo playing and entertained by Rodney's humor . . . .

Although the Dillards aren't single-handedly responsible for bluegrass' migration from Appalachia to California, there's no denying they provided vital transportation. Raised in Salem, Mo., brothers Rodney and Doug Dillard jammed in a string of outfits before forming their own in 1960. The newly christened Dillards soon relocated to Los Angeles, where they made several appearances as the Darlings on the Andy Griffith Show. More importantly, the group became a pillar of the burgeoning folk/country-rock scene, along with the Byrds, Gosdin Brothers, Clarence White, etc. In 1967 Doug jumped ship to team up with ex-Byrd Gene Clark in the now legendary Dillard and Clark.

Friday, May 22, 2009

Investing according to Doug Kass - Seabreeze Partners

Rather, I prefer to stick to the discipline of interpreting fundamentals, valuation and sentiment through a logically reasoned, objective and analytical process. This means that I maintain the self-control of sitting on my hands, selling and/or shorting when values are rich and buying (even recklessly sometimes) when values emerge as they did two months ago.

This is, however, easier said (or written) than done. It requires patience and, at times, a variant or contrarian view and strength of analytical conviction. It often also requires one to ignore the business media's staccato repeated sound bytes of bullish breathlessness. Their intentions might be honorable, but quite frankly, the media, with few exceptions, have no or little skin in the game. And it often requires market participants to ignore the delivery of the talking heads whose platform is the media and whom are too frequently theatrical and shallow in their "advice" rather than substantive in their analysis.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Longest insult in Shakespeare

"A knave; a rascal; an eater of broken meats; a base, proud, shallow, beggarly, three-suited, hundred-pound filthy, worsted-stocking knave; a lilly-livered, action-taking whoreson glassgazing, superserviceable, finical rogue; one-trunk-inheriting slave; one that wouldst be a bawd, in way of good service, and art nothing but the composition of a knave, beggar, coward, pander, and the son and heir of a mongrel bitch, one whom I will beat into clamourous whining, if thou denyest the least syllable of the addition." King Lear Act II Scene II

thanks to Jim Cooper, a friend of my sister Sarah's who I met at the Parkfield Bluegrass Festival this past weekend.

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Talk about strange accounting, did you hear about Citigroup

Citigroup said it made $1.6 billion in the last quarter. One of the ways Citigroup achieved this gain was booking a profit of $2.7 billion on the decline in Citi's own debt. Say what? Under accounting rules, Citi was allowed to book a one-time gain equivalent to the decline in its bonds because, in theory, it could buy back its debt cheaply and save $2.7 billion over time. Of course, Citi didn't actually do that. Even though more consumer loans went bad in the first quarter, Citi reduced its loan loss reserve from $3.4 billion in the fourth quarter to $2.1 billion in the first quarter, thereby picking up another $1.3 billion of 'earnings'. And the recent change in mark to market accounting enabled Citi to book an additional $413 million in 'profit' on impaired assets. Without theses one-time adjustments, Citi's $1.6 billion in first quarter profit becomes a $2.8 billion loss.

Tuesday, May 05, 2009

The Edge

Ever wonder what the guitarist for U2's real name is ? Well, he's David Evans and he's buying up Malibu to boot.

Sunday, May 03, 2009

Universities overbuilt during the bubble too

Now, the vacant halls are reminders of the new math confounding U.S. colleges. Students, pummeled by scarce loans and savings plans that have fallen as much as 40 percent, are heading for less expensive schools. The perks designed to lure them during boom times -- from hot tubs to dorm-suite kitchenettes, to in-room cable TV -- are crushing universities with debt. Even projects like Simmons’s “green” management building (the $32 million School of Management building at Simmons College in Boston is all but deserted) with its rain-absorbing roof patio and toilets with two flushing modes, can turn into burdens as schools struggle with rising expenses, plummeting endowments and needier applicants.

“The spending binge by colleges and universities was part of the same trend that created the bubble in the rest of the economy,” says Ronald Ehrenberg, an economics professor at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, and author of “Tuition Rising: Why College Costs So Much” (Harvard University Press, 2000). “Now we’re seeing it burst.”

From Harvard University to California’s 3 million-student community college network, the American system of higher education is in turmoil. The economic crash is upending each step in the equation that families use to determine where students will spend four of their most formative -- and expensive -- years. Today is the deadline that most schools set to receive a decision from accepted applicants.

from Bloomberg click here to read the whole story

Saturday, May 02, 2009

Video - Tiger's Masterly Chip

The chip in on #16 at the Masters in 2005 was iconic for so many reasons but here's a new look at the shot . . . . it's amazing and only Tiger can do stuff like this!

Friday, May 01, 2009

Want to stop junk mail?

Here's a good place to start . . . . STOP JUNK MAIL click here

Thursday, April 30, 2009

F*&% The Rating Agencies

April 29 (Bloomberg) -- Ron Grassi says he thought he had retired five years ago after a 35-year career as a trial lawyer.

Now Grassi, 68, has set up a war room in his Tahoe City, California, home to single-handedly take on Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings. He’s sued the three credit rating firms for negligence, fraud and deceit.

Grassi says the companies’ faulty debt analyses have been at the core of the global financial meltdown and the firms should be held accountable. Exhibit One is his own investment. He and his wife, Sally, held $40,000 in Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. bonds because all three credit raters gave them at least an A rating -- meaning they were a safe investment -- right until Sept. 15, the day Lehman filed for bankruptcy.

“They’re supposed to spot time bombs,” Grassi says. “The bombs exploded before the credit companies acted.”

read more here on Bloomberg

Remembering Clarence White

As many of you know, I play guitar and I write songs and I love bluegrass music. There have been many guitar influences in my life : Duane Eddy, Dick Dale, Doc Watson, James Burton, Eric Clapton, George Harrison, Tony Rice and Robben Ford. But one of the foremost was Clarence White who was killed by a drunk driver at the age of 27. He influenced so many guitar enthusiasts and still continues to do so today despite the fact that there is very little video or instructional material from him. But I just discovered a rare DVD of him as a guest on "Bob Baxter's Guitar Workshop" TV show which was a staple of mine back in the early 70's on LA TV. click here to find it and other material from the producer's website

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Video - Yankee Doodle Dandy

George M. Cohen played by James Cagney. The ultimate showman and composer, Cohen was everything an entertainer could be and Cagney won an Academy Award for his portrayal of him in the film.

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Video - Thelma and Louise

The ending to the movie, Thelma and Louis is classic.

Sunday, April 26, 2009

Video - Unsinkable Molly Brown

One of the great scenes from Debbie Reynolds amazing career.

Friday, April 24, 2009

Video - The Mask

This scene from The Mask really blew me away. It was a seminal moment in the history of film for me. To see a character transformed like this (think Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde) was really new. And, of course, Jim Carry was so fresh and new at the time and funny in the role.

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Video - Niagara Falls

Ever see Niagara Falls up close . . . . here's a video I made last year when we visited.

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Frugality

Hey, everyone is cutting back and saving. Currently, there are dozens of Web sites and blogs devoted to celebrating conspicuous cutting, like Dollar Stretcher (www.stretcher.com), All Things Frugal (allthingsfrugal.com), Frugal Mom (www.frugalmom.net), and on and on. The Web site meetup.com, which helps people of like interests gather offline, lists 57 “frugal living” groups around the country, including eight formed in February and nine in March.

Los Angeles Homeless Court

Ever since Steve Lopez wrote The Soloist, the homeless mentally ill of Los Angeles have been receiving attention and no helps more than Judge Michael Tynan, he holds a special court for people accused of nonviolent offenses who have both a mental illness and an addiction. Most of the defendants have spent time on Skid Row and some call it home. click here to read more and listen to the interview

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Video - Paths of Glory

In 1957, Stanley Kubrick directed Paths of Glory starring Kirk Douglas. It was a hell of a anti war film.

Monday, April 20, 2009

Equity withdrawal data

Quarter 1-2006 there was $223 billion in mortgage equity withdrawals. Quarter 2-2008 it was $9.5 billion! Now where did all that money go? Maybe to maintain an unsustainable lifestyle? Trade real estate? Flip houses?

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Another good Blog

I know you really enjoy my blog but check this one out . . . . One Good Move

Thursday, April 09, 2009

Sandbags, where do they go to die?

I see where they are adding more sandbags to the "levees" in Fargo, ND. If you've seen the existing mountains of sandbags you can imagine how much larger they are going to be before the Red River crests again but what about this?????? What happens to sandbags after the river falls back within it's banks? Where do sandbags go to die?

Wednesday, April 08, 2009

It's Masters Time and the Foreigners are here big

Last year, the field was still evenly split at the season’s first major tournament, but this time, the gap is wide, with the 96-player field comprising 41 Americans and 55 golfers from other countries, including the defending champion, Trevor Immelman of South Africa.

Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Housing costs and inflation

“In 1983, the Bureau of Labor Statistics began to use rental equivalence for homeowner-occupied units instead of direct home-ownership costs. Between 1983 and 1996, the price-to-rental ratio increased from 19.0 to 20.2, little effect on measured inflation: The CPI underestimated inflation by about 0.1 percentage point per year during this period. Between 1999 and 2006, the price-to-rent ratio shot up from 20.8 to 32.3.

With home price increases out of the CPI and the price-to-rent ratio rapidly increasing, an important component of inflation remained outside the index. In 2004 alone, the price-rent ratio increased 12.3%. Inflation for that year was underestimated by 2.9 percentage points (since “owners’ equivalent rent” is about 23% of the CPI). If home-ownership costs were included in the CPI, inflation would have been 6.2% instead of 3.3%.

With nominal interest rates around 6% and inflation around 6%, the real interest rate was near zero, so household borrowing took off. As measured by the Case-Shiller 10 city index, the accumulated inflation in home-ownership costs between January 1999 and June 2006 was 151%, but the CPI measured a mere 23% increase. As the Federal Reserve monitored inflation in the early part of this decade, home-price increases were no longer visible in the CPI, so the lax monetary policy continued. Even after the Fed began to slowly raise the fed-funds rate in May 2004, the average rate remained low and the bubble continued to inflate for two more years.”

WSJ - Steven Gjerstad and Nobel Laurelate Vernon Smith

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

Remembering Maurice Jarre

One of Hollywood's greatest composers has passed away. Jarre, the French-born composer won Oscars for "Lawrence of Arabia", "Doctor Zhivago" and "A Passage to India". Jarre wrote more than 170 film and television scores including those for "The Longest Day", "The Year of Living Dangerously", "Ghost", "Witness", "Gorillas in the Mist", "Fatal Attraction" and "Dead Poets Society". He was a giant!

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Way to go Golden One Credit Union

The Golden 1 Credit Union of Sacramento purchased $500 million of cash-flow notes on March 23 helping to alleviate a cash crunch the state was facing.

Monday, March 30, 2009

Kayaker comes to aid of sailors





Yesterday, Toni noticed the Lido 14 sailing on the lake then a few minutes later noticed they had flipped (about 300 yards from our dock). we knew how cold the water of Laguna Lake is and watched to see how fast they would right the boat . . . . minutes passed and they didn't right it and they weren't moving with the current so we decided to call 911 and I donned my wetsuit and rowed the kayak out to see if I could help. One of the toughest rowing experiences I've ever had as the current, chop and wind was in my face the whole time. The 3 high school kids were glad to see me and cold. I was able to tow them back to our dock where a fleet of fire engines and other trucks were waiting to help them. This morning there was a photo and caption in the local newspaper click here

Paul Cezanne - THE Impressionist

No one hard more influence on Impressionistic style of painting than Paul Cezanne. All of the masters, Braque, Matisse, Mondrian, Picasso, Johns, Marden et al looked at his work to guide them in their own. And now the Philadelphia Museum of Fine Art has put together a great retrospective click here for more information

Sunday, March 29, 2009

Nassim Taleb on leverage

On the subject of debt . . . .

"We cannot have both debt leverage and a hyper-efficient system—the volatility is just too great. What Taleb explains—which no one else does—is that efficiency is already a form of leverage. A highly efficient system removes slack and magnifies small changes. Think of the efficient system as a high-performance aircraft. Each minute of steering input creates a rapid and violent shift of course, speed, or altitude. The system itself is souped up even before you add the debt. Once you do, the pilot is equally jacked up and twitchy, creating an explosive combination. Now imagine that fighter jet trying to fly in a 1,000-plane formation, and you get an idea of the world financial system in the 21st century.

We can’t erase the technology that created the planes, so we’ll have to make sure we fly sober, maybe even with an onboard computer that dampens the controls. That means getting rid of the debt. It’s that simple."

Friday, March 27, 2009

Down and out in the unemployment line

Late last week a single morther of one was told her application was denied. Her monthly unemployment payments of $1,943 put her $36 over the federal income limit for food stamps. The monthly income limit for a family of three for CalWorks was even lower.

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Video - Mork and Mindy get married

What a cast of characters in this skit.

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Video - Mork and Mindy (Diablo Canyon)

I was searching through the Mork and Mindy shows on my DVR and found this cute little scene with Mindy indirectly commenting on a certain nuclear generation plant . . . . . now of course, this back in the '80s so it was politically correct to joke about nuclear energy.

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Why some traders succeed

“Some traders are succeeding not so much because they are rational, but because they have certain biological traits, including confidence, an appetite for risk, search persistence, and speed of reactions,” all of which are derived from prenatal exposure to testosterone.”
-John Coates, University of Cambridge neuroscientist and former trader

Monday, March 23, 2009

Unfunded Pension update

Many pension funds decided a long time ago to be political machines and social engineer by their investment dollars (without the approval of the pensioners I might add); they directed a portion of their portfolio towards "socially redeeming" companies and away from others like tobacco. Selling tobacco interests was a big financial mistake which has caused pensioners greatly.

CalPERS sold off all tobacco related holdings from their portfolio and did little to affect tobacco growing, distribution, etc. but did cost themselves. Since then, the AMEX Tobacco Index has outperformed the S&P 500 by more than 250% and the Nasdaq by 500%. That one decision cost pensioners more than $1 billion dollars according to a 2008 report by CalSTRS.

I'm not sure what the current impact those decisions have had but it can't have been any better.

Saturday, March 21, 2009

Winston Churchill quote

“’You are drunk Sir Winston, you are disgustingly drunk. ‘Yes, Mrs. Braddock, I am drunk. But you, Mrs. Braddock are ugly, and disgustingly fat. But, tomorrow morning, I, Winston Churchill will be sober.”

Friday, March 20, 2009

1st day of Spring

Today, the Sun crosses the celestial equator heading north at 11:44 UT. Known as an equinox, this astronomical event marks the first day of spring in the northern hemisphere and autumn in the south. It also marks the beginning of Norouz, the Persian (Iranian) new year. Equinox means equal night. With the Sun on the celestial equator, Earth dwellers will experience nearly 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness. Of course, in the north the days will grow longer, the Sun marching higher in the sky as summer approaches. To celebrate the equinox, consider this scenic view of the setting Sun from the island of Naxos in the Aegean Sea. Recorded last June, the well-planned image captures the Portara (big door) in a dramatic silhouette. Measuring about 6 by 3.5 meters, the Portara is the large entrance to the Greek island's ancient, unfinished Temple of Apollo.

Liberals vs Conservatives

James K. Galbraith has pinpointed the defining elements in his piece in the Washington Monthly

The deepest belief of the modern economist is that the economy is a self-stabilizing system. This means that, even if nothing is done, normal rates of employment and production will someday return. Practically all modern economists believe this, often without thinking much about it. (Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said it reflexively in a major speech in London in January: "The global economy will recover." He did not say how he knew.) The difference between conservatives and liberals is over whether policy can usefully speed things up. Conservatives say no, liberals say yes, and on this point Obama’s economists lean left. Hence the priority they gave, in their first days, to the stimulus package.

Thursday, March 19, 2009

American Express jettisoning customers ???

Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Chenault is shedding customers after efforts to expand backfired, and the company’s stock declined by more than two-thirds in 12 months. The firm is paying some cardholders $300 each to close accounts so the lender can reduce the risk of default as the recession deepens.

Darn, I meant to sign up for those puppies!

Setting the stage for INFLATION

By committing to buy Treasuries and double the purchases of mortgage debt, the Federal Reserve signaled it's determination to avoid a repeat of the Great Depression and it's willingness to pump as much cash into the economy as needed to end the current crisis.

This is called monetizing debt, the cause of currency devaluation. Take a look at what happened to the USD vs EURO yesterday after the announcement.

Monday, March 16, 2009

Fishing Knots

Ever wonder how all those great knots are tied? Well, click here and learn.

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Video - Kali and the Hand Shadow

Kali belongs to our cousins the Wakemans and loves to chase shadows . . . . .

Friday, March 13, 2009

for some Madoff victims, this was the first time they lost in a Ponzi scheme!

Tragically, Mr. Breeden said, some people who had invested in the Ponzi scheme that he helped clean up turned around and gave their money to Mr. Madoff. Read the whole story at the Wall Street Journal online here

John Stewart to James Cramer . . . .

“It feels like we are capitalizing your adventure.” Perfect!

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Madoffville

Hey, take a look at Bernie's new neighbors . . . . Madoff is joining a corps of aging white-collar convicts including former WorldCom Inc. Chief Executive Officer Bernard Ebbers, 67, now housed at the Federal Correctional Institution in Oakdale, Louisiana, and John Rigas, 84, the ex-CEO of Adelphia Communications Corp. who is imprisoned at the Federal Correctional Institution in Butner, North Carolina.

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Crater Lake


If you've never been to Crater Lake in Oregon, it's a must. Here's a look from overhead in the winter.

Wednesday, March 04, 2009

Remembering Barney McCay

When I first began working at my family's company, American Hardwood, it didn't take too long before I met the Orange County salesman, Barney McCay. Barney was a former national badminton doubles champion. He knew Leo Fender and because of that, American sold all the hardwood lumber Fender Musical Instruments bought for decades, he was instrumental in the sale of spruce to make Howard Hughes' Spruce Goose. You could always count on Barney for a good joke or story. Barney passed away two weeks ago, living to the grand age of 93. Barney won't ever be forgotten by the many who worked with him.

Tuesday, March 03, 2009

All we need is >>>>>

"All we need to make us really happy is something to be enthusiastic about." Charles Kingsley

Sunday, March 01, 2009

Great Image

Saturday, February 28, 2009

TEN BEST CADDY REPLIES

#10 Golfer: "I think I am going to drown myself in the lake."
Caddy: "Think you can keep your head down that long?"

#9 Golfer: "I'd move heaven and earth to break 100 on this course.
Caddy: "Try heaven, you've already moved most of the earth."

#8 Golfer: "Do you think that my game is improving?"
Caddy: "Yes sir, you miss the ball much closer now."

#7 Golfer: "Do you think I can get there with a 5 iron?"
Caddy: "Eventually!"

#6 Golfer: "You got to be the worst caddy in the world."
Caddy: "I don't think so sir. That would be too much of a coincidence."

#5 Golfer: "Please stop checking your watch all the time."
Caddy: "It's not a watch, it is a compass."

#4 Golfer: "How do you like my game?"
Caddy: "Very good sir, but personally I prefer golf."

#3 Golfer: "Do you think it is a sin to play on Sunday?"
Caddy: "The way you play, sir, it is a sin on any day."

#2 Golfer: "This is the worst course I've ever played on."
Caddy: "This isn't the golf course. We left that an hour ago."

#1 Golfer: "That can't be my ball, it is too old."
Caddy: "It's been a long time since we teed off, sir

Thursday, February 26, 2009

Best Comeback Line

If you ever testify in court, you might wish you could have been as sharp as this policeman. He was being cross-examined by a defense attorney during a felony trial. The lawyer was trying to undermine the policeman's credibility...
Q: "Officer -- did you see my client fleeing the scene?"
A: "No sir. But I subsequently observed a person matching the description of the offender, running several blocks away."
Q: "Officer -- who provided this description?"
A: "The officer who responded to the scene."
Q: "A fellow officer provided the description of this so-called offender. Do you trust your fellow officers?"
A: "Yes, sir. With my life."
Q: "With your life? Let me ask you this then officer. Do you have a room where you change your clothes in preparation for your daily duties?"
A: "Yes sir, we do!"
Q: "And do you have a locker in the room?"
A: "Yes sir, I do."
Q: "And do you have a lock on your locker?"
A: "Yes sir."
Q: "Now why is it, officer, if you trust your fellow officers with your life, you find it necessary to lock your locker in a room you share with these same officers?"
A: "You see, sir -- we share the building with the court complex, and sometimes lawyers have been known to walk through that room."
The courtroom erupted in laughter, and a prompt recess was called. The officer on the stand has been nominated for this year's "Best Comeback" Line -- I think he'll win.

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Video - Craig and Sasha

When I was recording my first CD, I found a young girl who played fabulous violin. Sasha was still in high school when I heard her play and asked her to play on two of the songs on my CD and she did so perfectly. You can the songs at my website click here listen to Sashay on Down and Last Times, Last Storm from the MP3s Info on the left banner. Enjoy and thanks again Sasha, wherever you.

The list of failures continues to increase

Bombay & Co. Circuit City, Home Depot’s Expo Design Center, KB Toys, Steve and Barry’s, National Wholesale Liquidators, Linens ‘n Things and now Fortunoff’s, the 87 year old local jewelry and department store in NY. And these are only the big names. I try to look at the economic data dispassionately; we tend to ignore the real world stories beneath much of the headlines. It never hurts to recall every now and again that there are real human tragedies occurring in the economic maelstrom . . .

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Retracement

Technically, 7,470 in the DJIA is the 50% retracement of the entire bull market that began in August 1982. At 7,100, we not only cut in half the October 2007 highs of 14,198.50, but we have given back 50% of the 27 year move from the start of the big bull market of the 1980s to yesterday. In addition to a 50% retracement in the DJIA from the 1982, we have also seen a 50% retracement of the move from 1932 low to the all-time high in 2007. 50% retracement of 41 - 14,164 = 7,103. Yesterday’s close was 7,115.

Monday, February 23, 2009

Academy Awards Highlight: Jerry Lewis

Easy for me . . . . Jerry Lewis receiving the Jean Hersholt Humanitarian Award. Who has done more for humanity than Jerry Lewis? He has helped raise billions of dollars for Muscular Dystrophy over the years. And he raised the bar for comedians along the way too.

Sunday, February 22, 2009

The Alaskan King Crab Leg Indicator

Is this delectable seafood a test of the retail market for seafood? I decided that before watching the Oscars tonight, I'd drop by the local Ralph's Grocery Store to get some crab legs and have a nice dinner in front of the TV with some friends. Problem is they don't sell crab legs at the Ralph's near me. Why? They are too expensive for the store to speculate on . . . . that's right, the manager told me they used to stock crab legs up until about a week ago but they just went to waste as no one was willing to spend $20/lb for them. Is this a tell on the state of the economy? I think it is.

Golf Density - per capita players

Britain and Ireland have about 3,000 regular courses and 1.5 million affiliated players. Scotland has more golf courses per capita than any other country in the world, with about 9,000 people for each of its 550 courses. Ireland is second in Europe, with one course for about every 14,000 people, according to data compiled by Golf Digest magazine.

Saturday, February 21, 2009

On the road to fuel efficiency . . . .

I just found out what happened.

In the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007, Congress allocated $25 billion to "reequipping, expanding, or establishing manufacturing facilities in the United States to produce qualifying advanced technology vehicles or qualifying components." However, all of the $25 billion was subsequently relocated to provide bridge loans to the auto industry as part of their bailout announced on Nov. 20, 2008.

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Video - Dave and Craig playing music

A few years ago, when I lived in Sacramento, I put on songwriter showcases for an group called Songsalive. During one of the shows, Dave Baldwin and I opened the show.

Clawing Back - it's time has come

Make bankers are accountable for the mess! They got rich HIDING RISK and put INNOCENT people in this mess. Join the "two horsemen" (Nouriel and Nassim) in extracting justice for the small guy.

At Davos 2009, one of the 2 horsemen was quoted as saying that people like Robert Rubin, who received over $100 million serving as chairman of New York-based Citigroup Inc.'s executive committee, need to be punished for their failure to understand the risks their institutions were taking. He said that unless Rubin and others like him are made to mandatorily return their bonuses or are given some other punishment, the system that regrettably emerges is one "in which it’s the worst of capitalism and socialism, a situation in which profits were privatized and losses were socialized. We taxpayers have the worst. This will stand as the biggest government-sponsored scam in history".

Bankers are way ahead; they MISPREPRESENTED their risks; the small guy is paying the price.

We cannot live in a society without accountability.

Note: Obama is "reducing" future bonuses after the recent scandal (they used the bailout money to pay themselves). This is outrageously insufficient. We need PAST bonuses to be returned to society --so we stop the cycle of moral hazard.

[Note: there are laws that make IRRESPONSIBLE persons in corporations liable for their sins against the public.]

[Note: the only country that clawed back bonuses so far is Switzerland, though by social pressure --the mechanism is certainly easy to implement].

Do you have an tax deferred annuity? Is it safe?

How Safe is an Annuity?

Your tax-deferred annuity is safe. A qualified legal reserve life insurance company is required to meet its contractual obligations to you. These reserves must, at all times, be equal to the withdrawal value of your annuity policy. In addition to reserves, state law also requires certain levels of capital and surplus to further increase policyholder protection. Legal reserve refers to the strict financial requirements that must be met by an insurance company to protect the money paid in by all policyholders. These reserves must be at all times, equal to the withdrawal value (principal plus interest less early withdrawal fees, if any) of every annuity policy. State insurance laws also require that a life insurance company must maintain certain minimum levels of capital and surplus, which provide additional policyholder protection.

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Video - Tim Conway

Is there anyone more hilarious to watch than Tim Conway? Yes, Harvey Korman when he's in a skit with Tim Conway.

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Breast Cancer prevention and reseacrch

The Love/Avon Army of Women offers a revolutionary new opportunity for YOU to partner with research scientists to move us beyond a cure.

Breast cancer has been around for decades, but it does not have to be our future. We can be the generation that eliminates breast cancer by identifying what causes this disease and stopping it before it starts. Sign up for your sister, mother, daughter, granddaughter, best friend, and the woman you met last week.

click here

Reducing Bloated Government

In a recently posted letter to the editor in my local newspaper, the writer says, "requiring multiple signatures for a decision is at the heart of "red tape". Only the last signature, the one who will take responsibility, is necessary. We could reduce government payroll and make government services more efficient if we used this test to get rid of managers."

Amen, we do have too many layers of management in government . . . . and don't get me going on public school administration!

Monday, February 16, 2009

How money gets transferred

"It is the markets’ job to reallocate money from the ignorant to the intelligent, from the lazy to the hard working and studious; from the naive to the educated, and from the speculator to the investor."

Barry Ritholz . . the big picture blog

Sunday, February 15, 2009

Video - How one golf hole can ruin your day

Last year on the PGA Tour Dudley Hart was leading a tournament and then it all ended with this disastrous performance on one hole.

Saturday, February 14, 2009

Friday, February 13, 2009

Video - B2 Bomber over the Rose Parade 2009

During the Rose Parade there was a fly over by one of two B2 bombers of the USA. It was pretty spectacular and quiet!

Not the right spirit but who's surprised?

During a decade in Congress, California Representative Grace Napolitano has pocketed more than $200,000 of political contributions by charging as much as 18 percent interest on money she loaned to her own campaign.

The suburban Los Angeles Democrat made the $150,000 loan in 1998, when she was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives. Through Dec. 31, her campaign committee has used donations to pay Napolitano $221,780 of interest while reducing the principal by just $64,727, a review of her Federal Election Commission filings shows.

Thursday, February 12, 2009

The inauguration like you've never seen it before

This is a remarkable panorama of the inauguration. You can actually focus in on faces near the back of the crowd - nearly 1/2 mile away!

The control for the picture is in the upper left. Press the + sign to zoom in, or arrows to move right, left, up or down. If the picture is fuzzy, give it a second to clarify. The technology is truly amazing, and it's un-classified! Imagine what spy agencies can see with classified technology! Grab the photo to move left, right, up down.

Take note Obama (center stage) and then look behind him. There's Clarence Thomas, Dick Cheney in his wheelchair, Clinton, Gore, Bush and even the pathetic simpleton Dan Quayle! Justice Scalia is present. The clarity is amazing!

click here

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Trading and Surfing

Trading is as exciting and difficult as any singular activity that I have attempted to master. I think a comparison to another activity I’ve mastered would serve to illustrate some interesting points. I love to surf as much as I love to trade. Surfing requires you to learn technical skills that must be mastered in order to perform well, have fun and be successful against “Mother Nature” (read - the unknowable future activity of the market) as does trading. Each activity requires you to have good tools so that you can take action when the time is right. Each activity has it’s own set of frustrations that can be anticipated but by no means predicted. Let me illustrate. Surfing requires an understanding of the ocean (very similar to understanding the ebbs and flows of the market). The tide comes in and goes out. And during each tidal advance and retreat, individual waves come in various forms, height and power. Wave heights can be anywhere between knee high and triple overhead and you have to decide how much is too much for your skill and comfort level (read - position sizing). The wind blows onshore, offshore or doesn’t blow at all, which affects the ocean surface and the ease of positioning yourself in the lineup. Positioning yourself in just the right place for the next wave is crucial to picking up the wave. Notice I haven’t said anything yet about riding the wave. OK, you’re comfortable with the size of the waves. You’ve paddled out to where you perceive is the lineup and you’re in the right place (read - you’re waiting for the proper setup); you see a wave coming and you turn, paddle and feel the wave lifting and propelling you down it’s face (read - entry). Now you must determine which direction to ride (read – long or short). As you’re pulling yourself up to stand, turn and trim the board, you quickly determine whether or not this wave is even rideable. In spite of the perception that it looked rideable when you were paddling for it doesn’t guarantee that it will be rideable after you catch it (read – unknown news event). Once you’re up and riding, many waves close out without giving you much warning and you have to be ready to kick out at an instant (read – stop-loss exit). Other waves continue to lineup ahead of you and offer options to ride through the next section and continue the ride (read – adding to your position/pyramiding). You know that ultimately the wave will end either on the beach or close out along the way and you will have to kick out or get wiped out (read - you know you will have to exit before you take off). There is no guarantee that the wave will be fun or long lasting with a nice exit giving you that accomplished feeling of success (read - profitable).
If you’re always ready for the opportunity and stay in the moment. If you keep reacting to everything that comes your way. If you keep your options open and have defined objectives, are prepared to kick out at any instant when you realize there is no more hope of succeeding, you can escape and paddle out to do it again (read – preserve your capital).

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

A gigabyte

The world's first one gigabyte disk drive was announced in 1980. It weighed 550 pounds and had a price tag of $40,000. Heck, most people have that much memory in the cellphones now.

Monday, February 09, 2009

Video - 100 Iron Men

During the Open Championship at Royal Birkdale in 2008 this was a special segment about an art project this is pretty interesting.

Sunday, February 08, 2009

Video - Extras - timezones

Ricky Gervais created Extras and here is a funny skit between his character and his character's agent.

Defined-Benefit Pension Plan underfundednes

S&P companies are underfunded by $250 billion in their defined-benefit pension plans. Late last year, the Bush administration waived the requirement that companies fund their pensions to at least 92% of needed capital. It is now down to 80%. This says nothing of the public sector pension plan underfunding . . . . gulp.

Saturday, February 07, 2009

More on Your Own Bliss

Ten Steps to Your Own Bliss:
1 Decide what kind of day you want and what kind of feelings you want to have. Tell yourself, “I will make no decisions by myself.”
2 Be still and listen for the answer you get. The answer may come in any form – a voice, a picture, an external sign, or just a sense of knowingness. The answer is everywhere and you may find it anywhere.
3 If you have a problem, then the answer you get may not resolve the problem in the manner you wanted. As a result, have no investment in the answer to any question you ask. Accept the answer you get and be patient. All things will aid you in discovering the truth. Keep an open mind.
4 Periodically, throughout the day think about the kind of day you would like to experience. And then say to yourself, “If I make no decisions by myself, then this is the day that will be given to me.” If in doubt, just listen. Allow the day to flow.
5 If you are unwilling to be patient for an answer, then you have already judged for yourself. If so, then realize that you have asked a question by yourself and determined the answer in your own terms. The right answer is not forced upon you. Instead, it comes with a willingness to listen. If you are upset, it is because your perception is wrong. When you criticize what you see, your bliss pathway will become invisible.
6 Once again, remember the kind of day you want and recognize that something has now occurred which is not a part of it. As a result, just let your question go.
7 If you can’t let your question go, then you can at least begin to change your mind by saying the following: “At least I can decide that I do not like how I feel now.”
8 As a result, realize that your judgment may have been wrong. This will remind you that internal guidance is not being forced on you. Instead, it is something you need because you do not like the way you feel.
9 Until you reach this point, you will think that your happiness depends upon your being right. But now you can discern that you would be better off if you were wrong. As a result, you can say in perfect honesty, “I want another way to look at this.”
10 The final step is to acknowledge that you are not opposed to being helped and ask, “Perhaps there is another way to look at this. What can I lose by asking?” Listen with assurance. You must desire to change your perception of the world and be willing to see another way.

This ten step procedure was adapted from A Course in Miracles and from Lee Coit’s Listening. To learn more about listening to your inner voice, I recommend the tape program, Listening, Accepting Being, by Lee Coit click here for more of his work

Friday, February 06, 2009

Following your bliss

Following your bliss essentially means doing what you are committed to do. Remember what W.N. Murray said about commitment: “The moment one definitely commits oneself, then Providence moves too. All sorts of things occur to help one that would otherwise have never occurred. A whole stream of events issue from the decision, raising in one’s favor all manner of foreseen assistance, which no man could have dreamt would have come his way.”

Unemployment Statistics

If you want to see the big picture on unemployment, check the U6 data here that's the one that more clearly describes total unemployment.

Thursday, February 05, 2009

Batman and Robin quotes

Robin: "I guess you can never trust a woman."
Batman: "You've made a hasty generalization, Robin. It's a bad habit to get into."

Robin: "That's an impossible shot, Batman."
Batman: "That's a negative attitude, Robin."

Wednesday, February 04, 2009

Alfred Hitchcock's style

"My camera is absolute."

"I tell the story through that lens, so I need you to move when my camera moves, stop when my camera stops. I'm confident you'll be able to find your motivation to justify the motion. I'll be happy to work with you, but I will not change the timing of my camera."

"Either they wear the clothes and do the part the way I want or they're not going to be in it."

from Spellbound by Beauty by Donald Spoto

Tuesday, February 03, 2009

Video - The Boss was good but Prince was the best!

Many are saying the Springsteen's halftime show during Superbowl 43 was the best ever . . . . not. Check out Prince during the 2007 halftime in the rain and note that he didn't go overtime!

Video - The best catch ever

The touchdown catch to clinch Superbowl 43 was the best ever.

Monday, February 02, 2009

The passing of Lance McCollum

One of the finest luthiers I know has passed away very unexpectedly. Lance McCollum built some of the most amazing guitars. I own a Grand Auditorium that Lance built for himself many years ago and sold to me prior to the Healdsburg Guitar Festival in 2005. Click here to see his website.

Friday, January 30, 2009

Video - Dolphin Stampede

This is a remarkable video clip someone sent to me, looks like it might have taken place off the tip of Baja, California.

Thursday, January 29, 2009

Why do you cry when you cut onions?

And more importantly, how can you prevent it from happening . . . if you can.

Onions contain a lot of sulfur. When you cut them, the cells burst and release enzymes. These enzymes turn sulfur into a gas. The gas into your eyes and forms sulfuric acid. One way to prevent the tears is to rub a cut lemon on the knife. Watch the Mythbusters prove it here on YouTube

Sports Trivia Question

Who was one of the most famous athlete's of all time to play a role in a movie and not play himself?






Wilt Chamberlain in Conan the Barbarian

learned this from the movie "Shotgun Solutions"

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

The insignificance of wine ratings

In 1978, a lawyer turned self-proclaimed wine critic, Rober M. Parker Jr. decided that, in addition to his reviews, he would rate wines numerically on a 100 point scale. Over the years most other wine publicaitons followed suit. From the theoretical view point, there are many reasons to quesiton the significance of wine ratings. For one thing, taste perception depends on a complex interaction between taste and ofactory stimululation. Strictly speakig, the sense of taste comes from 5 types of receptor cells on the tongue: salty, sweet, sour, bitter, and umami. But if that were all there was to taste perception, one could mimic everything, fortunately there is more to gluttony than that and that is where the sense of smell comes in. The perceived taste of wine arises from the effects of a stew of between 600 and 800 volatile organice compounds on both the tongue and the nose. That's a problem, given that studies have shown that even flavor trained professionals can rarely reliably identify more than three of four components in a mixture.

Let's just say that the quality of a wine's taste is pretty complex. Skeptical of the numbering system yet? OK, scientists have designed ways to measure wine experts taste descrimination directly using a wine triangle (each tastor is given 3 wines, two of which are idnentical). The mission is to choose the odd sample. In many studies over the years, experts could only do it only 2/3 of the time. "On many levels the ratings system is nonsensical," says the editor of Wine and Spirits Magazine. But why does the system endure? Because people are attracted to and have faith more in numbers than other systems of rating.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Ockham's Razor

There is a time-honored principle called Ockham's Razor, which states that the explanation for any phenomenon should focus only on the essential and relevant elements, avoiding as many unnecessary “second-order” factors as possible. Albert Einstein put it this way: “A theory should be a simple as possible, but no simpler.” From the standpoint of economic stimulus, Ockham's Razor suggests that we will fail as a nation to address the current economic crisis if we fail to address the source of that crisis. Again, this means focusing first on bank capital and mortgage foreclosures.

In short, the essential problem is not “insufficient aggregate demand” but rather risk-aversion and anticipatory saving triggered by fear of financial instability. Ockham's razor cuts straight to bank capital and foreclosure risk. We can address a much wider range of interests in the cause of economic stimulus, but if we fail to address the central cause of the present economic crisis, the attempt to increase “aggregate demand” will predictably fail.

Liz atop Arthur's Seat


Arthur's Seat is the main peak of the group of hills which form most of Holyrood Park, a remarkably wild piece of highland landscape in the center of the city of Edinburgh, about a mile to the east of Edinburgh Castle. Here's a photo of my niece atop the peak. Click here to learn more.

Monday, January 26, 2009

Playing for Change - a new way to create and collaborate

The ability to collaborate on music today is amazing. Musicians around the world don't need to be in the same place to make music together. Click here to watch the video "Playing For Change"

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Human Perception

Perception requires imagination because the data people encounter in their lives are never complete and always equivocal. Human perception, according to Michael Faraday (inventor of the electronic motor and one of the greatest of experimental scientists) is not a direct consequence of reality but rather an act of imagination.

Friday, January 23, 2009

Video - Extras Favorite clip

Ricky Gervais created Extras and this is my favorite clip

Clan Kincaid

Here's a little family history click here

Thursday, January 22, 2009

Agnotology

Agnotology: Culturally constructed ignorance, purposefully created by special interest groups working hard to create confusion and suppress the truth. What's going on? Normally, we expect society to progress, amassing deeper scientific understanding and basic facts every year. Knowledge only increases, right?

Robert Proctor doesn't think so. A historian of science at Stanford, Proctor points out that when it comes to many contentious subjects, our usual relationship to information is reversed: Ignorance increases. He has developed a word inspired by this trend: agnotology. Derived from the Greek root agnosis, it is "the study of culturally constructed ignorance." We need to fashion information tools that are designed to combat agnotological rot. Wikipedia is one of the solutions: It encourages users to build real knowledge through consensus, and the result manages to (mostly) satisfy even people who hate each other's guts. Because the most important thing these days might just be knowing what we know.

Read the full story on how this word came into being and it's impact on all of us click here

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Mike Doyles says this too

Mike Doyles says

Geithner, the incoming Treasury Secretary ooooops

Treasury Secretary Geithner may be in some trouble, as he failed to pay taxes on his income from his stint at the IMF. This is not an "Oops, I forgot!" The IMF does not withhold income taxes from its employees. However, he was given a memo about the taxes he owed. And he did pay them for two years when he was audited and caught. He clearly knew the nature of the taxes due the two prior years, yet did not come clean on those years. Dumb move for someone on a fast-track career and who clearly has an impressive intellect. He has got to be kicking himself.

The creepy spider

Click here to go to a cool website where you can play around with spiders. Poke and prod the spider with your mouse, also 'grab' one of its legs with your mouse and drag it around the screen. Tell me it's not alive!

Put the cursor anywhere on the map and then hit the space bar and it leaves little bugs. Watch the spider go after them and when she catches them they disappear; this is totally crazy but fun to play!

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

How did golf get it's name?

In Scotland, a new game was invented. It was entitled Gentlemen Only Ladies Forbidden.... and thus the word GOLF entered into the English language.