Monday, March 08, 2010
Never plan to be on time
The end of ignorance is coming
Saturday, March 06, 2010
The problem with Greece, Germany and California
Greece has a fertility rate of about 1.3: 10 grandparents have six kids have four grandkids - i.e., the family tree is upside down. Demographers call 1.3 "lowest-low" fertility - the point from which no society has ever recovered. And compared to Spain and Italy, Greece has the least worst fertility rate in Mediterranean Europe.
read the whole story here
Tuesday, March 02, 2010
What were the real losses at Madoff??
The bankruptcy court in this case has made the basic determination that the losses were ONLY the cash that was initially given to Madoff & Co. The extra $45 billion was a fictitious part of Madoff’s fraud. Therefore, it represents funds that were not actual investment losses, and are not covered by SIPIC insurance. So there . . .
Monday, March 01, 2010
The largest Tsunami ever . . .
a. India
b. Philippines
c. Chile
d. Japan
In 1971 a wall of water 278 feet (84.7 meters) high surged past Ishigaki Island, Japan. It moved a 750-block of coral 1.5 miles (2.4 kilometers) closer to shore but did little other damage.Sunday, February 28, 2010
a comment from Buffet
Friday, February 26, 2010
Even auto repair businesses are getting hammered
Sunday, February 21, 2010
Are the Greeks losing it?
"How does Germany have the cheek to denounce us over our finances when it has still not paid compensation for Greece's war victims?" Margaritis Tzimas, of the main opposition New Democracy party, told parliament."
This was during a debate in the Greek parliament on how to handle the Greek debt. And it was echoed by both the left and right political parties. Somehow they forgot about the German government paying 115 million deutschmarks in 1960, not a small sum back then. It seems that many Greek politicians are still in the denial stage of dealing with this crisis.
Saturday, February 20, 2010
The important quote from Tiger . . .
Friday, February 19, 2010
Actions speak louder than words
Ralph Waldo Emerson
Thursday, February 18, 2010
Driving Safely???
There are several possible explanations for these results, besides the obvious possibility that there is no connection between talking on a phone and driver attentiveness to driving. First, the bans may not be enforced very well, or at all. Second, there may be a ramp-up period before the word gets around that you can be penalized for using a phone while driving. But the study does raise concerns about the broader issue of driver distractions—and more of those are on the way.
Far more likely to cause accidents is texting while driving, given that most people need to look at their device while doing so. Nineteen states plus the District of Columbia and Guam now ban texting while driving—but those bans may show equally little effect if it turns out that enforcement is so difficult or spotty as to have practically no impact (as may well be he case for the cell phone use study).
Beyond texting is the growing proliferation of in-car devices to further distract drivers from keeping their cars in safe operation. Bill Snyder, in Computerworld (Jan. 25th) reported from the Consumer Electronics Show about “a new generation of devices that bring email, the Internet, and digital entertainment into our cars.” There were 380 exhibitors showing items such as mobile TV and high-speed Internet access for cars, some pitched to eager car manufacturers and others aimed at individuals, as after-market add-ons to their cars. In his article, “Dear Silicon Valley: Stay Out of My Car,” Snyder quotes University of Utah psychology professor David Strayer, as follows: “Listening to a short text message is probably okay. But trying to pay attention to a complex email is a bad idea; it overloads the driver.” Strayer’s research has found that only 2.5% of us are the kind of “super-taskers” who can carry out multiple complex tasks at the same time.
Gold
Monday, February 15, 2010
Grubonics - Uppatacious
Thursday, February 11, 2010
Is The FDIC Killing Short Sales?
Super Bowls betting results
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Grubonics
Saturday, January 30, 2010
Whoa is the Democrat who cannot accept health reform is lost
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Morning Sunrise photo by Craig B. Kincaid
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Ever want to learn how to tie a truckers hitch knot?
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Friday, January 22, 2010
Chef's Holidays 2010 at the Ahwanhee Hotel
Each year in Yosemite at the Ahwanhee they put on a top chef's demonstration of fine cooking, tour of the kitchen and culminating with a banquet in the Great Dining Hall. We stayed at the Lodge at Yosemite where we had snow and rain showers most of the time but great visuals except Half Dome was conspicuously absent. My friend Rob Davidson said that they had taken down for repairs. click here for a look at the Chef's Holidays.
Thursday, January 21, 2010
The Most Famous Person
An Irish boy put his hand up and said, "It was St. Patrick."
The teacher said, "Sorry Sean, that's not correct."
Then a Scottish boy put his hand up and said, "It was St. Andrew."
The teacher replied, "I'm sorry, Hamish, that's not right either."
Finally, a Jewish boy raised his hand and said, "It was Jesus Christ."
The teacher said, "That's absolutely right, Marvin, come up here and I'll give you the $2."
As the teacher was giving Marvin his money, she said, "You know, Marvin, since you're Jewish, I was very surprised that you said Jesus Christ."
Marvin replied, "Yeah. In my heart I knew it was Moses, but business is business!"
Kurzweil part two
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Ray Kurzweil
Monday, January 18, 2010
What's the true story on Chinese individual income?
here is an excerpt from the Seeking Alpha blog challenging Jim Chanos assertion that China is in a bubble about to burst . . .
"If anything, incomes are grossly under reported in China. A simple look at how accounting works will show why. Whereas in the U.S. individuals must report their income to the Internal Revenue Service every year, in China all individual tax is reported and paid for by companies, except for that of high earners. Many Chinese companies limit the tax they pay by reporting low salaries and then paying their employees higher amounts while accounting for the difference as business expenses like phone bills. The employees are happy because they make every bit as much as they were promised, and the companies are pleased to lower their tax exposure.
Also, many companies pay for housing and cars for their employees, a holdover from the old system of state-run businesses. Most Western economists don't count those expenses as income, but they should. Deceptive accounting of income is so widespread that the government has announced plans to tax some business expenses in state-run enterprises--the kinds of expenses that let executives pay taxes on earnings of $300 a month while living in multimillion-dollar homes and driving Mercedes." to read the whole thing click here
Sunday, January 17, 2010
Saturday, January 16, 2010
The Challengers

Along with the Beachboys, The Challengers were a top So Cal surf band. I recently found my only LP of the band and here's the cover. Check back tomorrow after I post the backside with liner notes by Rick Griffin and Murphy image (thanks to a reader who corrected me on Murphy, he wasn't Murph the Surf)
Friday, January 15, 2010
Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities
Monday, January 11, 2010
great body boarding video on Posterous via Vimeo
Sunday, January 10, 2010
Video - 48 Hour Jam in Bakersfield
Friday, January 08, 2010
Successful Big Family Party 14 or more
A little of what everyone has at home : cut meats in the frig, a keg of beer, a lot of good wine and malted whiskies, mementos of those in attendance or relatives, an environment where everyone feels at ease, good food, close and good accommodations, something to familiarize everyone with the local area : parks, downtown, beaches, hiking trails and walks, parks, golf, surfing, etc.
Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Mark Twain on the newspaper
Mark Twain
Sunday, January 03, 2010
Still lot's of debt - too much to get the economy moving
"With all of the talk of the difficult borrowing environment and de-leveraging, very little debt is actually gone, despite massive write-offs by banks," Andy Matthes, portfolio manager at Matthes Capital, wrote in a recent letter to investors, a copy of which was obtained by MarketWatch. Most of this debt mountain is still tied to the fragile, government-supported housing market. At the peak of the real estate boom in 2006, U.S. households owed $9.8 trillion in mortgage debt. By the end of September, that had climbed to $10.3 billion.
Such high debt levels leave households with less cash available to spend on other things. With consumers typically accounting for two-thirds of U.S. gross domestic product, this situation should dent economic growth. However, personal consumption currently makes up more than 70% of GDP, well above the average of 66% since 1929, according to Matthes.
Consumption has likely remained high because of government transfer payments, which help people who have fallen on hard times through the social welfare system.
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Do you feel safer?
But there are literally millions of potential targets in any large country -- there are 5 million commercial buildings alone in the United States -- and hundreds of potential terrorist tactics. It's impossible to defend every place against everything, and it's impossible to predict which tactic and target terrorists will try next.
Security is both a feeling and a reality. The propensity for security theater comes from the interplay between the public and its leaders.
for more click hereBlue Moon on New Year's Eve
Sunday, December 27, 2009
Monday, December 21, 2009
Violence
Saturday, December 19, 2009
Is the Gerrymandering finally going to be over in California?
Thursday, December 17, 2009
RSVP
Gift Cards - my take
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Monday, December 14, 2009
Solving Problems using Heuristics
Friday, December 11, 2009
Thursday, December 10, 2009
On the subject of consumer spending
Only 25% of personal consumption is discretionary spending
What many investors fail to realize is that the majority of PCE is not made up of iPods, handbags and dinners at the local Outback Steakhouse. Instead, about 75% of household spending is non-discretionary in nature, such as housing, healthcare, energy, food eaten at home and other household staples. We think it is worth noting that most of these non-discretionary items are made in the US.
While there is certainly room to reduce non-discretionary spending, the areas of consumer spending feeling the brunt of higher household saving rates are cars, travel, apparel, restaurants and other discretionary items that make up about 25% of PCE, equivalent to 20% of US GDP (Chart 3) or less as many of these nondiscretionary items are imported. 20% of US GDP is still significant, but far less than the 70% figure that makes the headlines. Another figure sure to make the headlines this time of year is retail sales. The contribution to US GDP from retail sales has actually been declining for over ten years. Excluding supermarkets, retail sales are under 40% of total consumption, or about 25% of GDP.
Wednesday, December 09, 2009
The latest from Bill Gross of PIMCO
Tuesday, December 08, 2009
How does the Eurozone go about dealing with it's debt?
Monday, December 07, 2009
Aaron Schroeder's passing
Friday, December 04, 2009
Picasso's Guernica
Thursday, December 03, 2009
Bill Fleckenstein
Wednesday, December 02, 2009
Open Space of SLO
Monday, November 30, 2009
Glut of Natural Gas - why isn't the US promoting cars powered by NG?
Murwab, a Qatari liquefied natural gas tanker, carried the first shipment to the U.S. from the Persian Gulf nation since June 2008. Its cargo, enough to heat about 9 million homes for a day, added to the largest gas inventories for this time of year since at least 1994, Energy Department data show.
Rising supplies threaten to hurt the record-large $4.2 billion bet in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund LP, while traders hold 51 percent more options contracts to buy gas than they do to sell. The International Energy Agency warned of a glut that Qatar’s energy minister said may last until 2012. Wall Street’s consensus forecast for a 51 percent rise in U.S. gas futures to an average $6.09 per million British thermal units next year is too high, according to industry consultant Schork Group Inc.
“We have more gas than we know what to do with in the U.S., we have more waterborne gas floating around the world’s oceans that doesn’t have a home,” Stephen Schork said in an interview from Villanova, Pennsylvania. Prices this winter will “gravitate toward, and remain closer to $4, rather than $7” for each million Btu, he said.
No more American Gold gold coins for a while
Saturday, November 28, 2009
What's the relationship between the Fed and Treasury?
The Federal Reserve creates the money in circulation. It runs the entire banking system in the country.
A good example of how the two work, is that lets assume today is Day 1 of the United States and we currently have $0.00 as a nation. The US Government wants to build a highway system that costs $1/billion dollars. How can this happen?
First the Congress would approve the bill and the president would sign it. Then the US Treasury would issue $1/billion in Debt. The Federal Reserve would create $1/billion dollars from thin air and buy the debt from the Treasury. Now the Treasury has $1/billion in cold cash. The Fed now holds the debt. Then the treasury begins writing checks to whomever is running the new highway construction operations. This putting $1/billion dollars into the hands of We the people. Who then turn around and go buy widgets from Walmart. The government then taxes us to repay the debt that was issued.
Thursday, November 26, 2009
Nathan Spear, California's first commercial salmon fisherman
After Captain Sutter had settled at Fort New Helvetia he was in the habit, at times, of sending fresh salmon to Yerba Buena. The fish were fresh-salted or smoked. Nathan Spear, who was an epicure, and lover of good things, appreciated these fish very highly. The idea suggested itself to his mind that something profitable might be done in salmon fishing on the Sacramento River. Not wishing to trespass upon Captain Sutter’s ground, although, of course, Sutter had no exclusive right to the fish in the river, Spear wrote to him on the subject and received encouragement to go up and engage in fishing there for salmon. He made several trips in 1840 and ‘41 in the schooner Isabella, camping on the bank of the Sacramento in a comfortable tent, and superintended the catching of the fish by the crew of his schooner and by Indians experienced in fishing, furnished by Captain Sutter. He took large quantities of salmon, filling the hold of the Isabella with fish packed in bulk, transported them to Yerba Buena, and disposed of them at satisfactory prices, packed in barrels and kegs of different sizes, to visiting vessels and to residents, making a good profit.
To Nathan Spear, therefore, is due the credit of having inaugurated the salmon fishery on this coast as a business, and of developing, to a considerable extent, an enterprise which has since grown to large proportions. On the last trip to the river in salmon catching Mrs. Spear accompanied her husband.
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
Land Grants in California
To iron out the confusion over land ownership in California, Congress passed "An Act to Ascertain and Settle Private Land Claims in the State of California" in 1851. This legislation established the California Land Commission, which had responsibility for adjudicating the validity of claims to Spanish and Mexican land grants. The new law placed the burden of proof on the claimant. Because it provided for appeals of the Commission's decisions to the Federal courts, titles to these claims were often tied up in litigation for years. So, added to the conflict between the existing population and the increasing stream of new immigrants looking for places to live was uncertainty about ownership of large portions of land. Because litigation over land grants lasted years (and sometimes decades), squatting became widespread and sometimes resulted in violent clashes. Additionally, many claimants could not afford the lengthy litigation and, as a result, lost their lands.
Monday, November 23, 2009
Dana Point named after Richard Henry Dana, Jr
During one experience, his ship was on a voyage to trade goods from the east for cow hides. Interestingly, the bluffs near Mission San Juan Capistrano presented an obstacle to taking the cow hides to the beach for subsequent loading onto the ship. So, Dana, along with others of the Pilgrim's crew, tossed the hides from the bluffs, while spinning them like a frisbee. Some hides got stuck part way down the cliff and Dana was lowered with ropes to retrieve them. Since that day, that point where the bluffs were located, took on Dana's name, and is today the city of Dana Point.
Thursday, November 19, 2009
Winston Churchill said . . .
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
How big is the amount of all gold ever mined??
Think about adding to your gold holdings!
Monday, November 16, 2009
How bad is unmemployment?
LAS VEGAS - In the latest sign of the economic free fall, U.S. citizens are starting to show up in the early mornings outside home improvement stores and plant nurseries across the Las Vegas Valley, jostling with illegal immigrants for a shot at a few hours of work.
Experts say the slow starting but seemingly inexorable trend is occurring nationwide.
"It's the equivalent of selling apples in the Great Depression," said Harley Shaiken, chairman of the Center for Latin American studies at the University of California, Berkeley.
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Dimentia vs Alzheimer's Disease
Friday, November 13, 2009
China to the rescue???
Thursday, November 12, 2009
Tax cheaters are getting more nervous all the time . . .
Hong Kong hasn’t been the only tax jurisdiction implicated in the past year. UBS admitted in February that it helped U.S. clients create sham companies in Panama and the British Virgin Islands, while hiding the true owners from the U.S. Internal Revenue Service. UBS clients who pleaded guilty also implicated Singapore, Liechtenstein, Mexico and the Cayman Islands.
The IRS is analyzing a trove of information from more than 7,500 taxpayers who voluntarily disclosed their offshore accounts this year to avoid prosecution. To qualify, clients had to disclose everyone who handled their money overseas and everywhere it went.
This is going to get exciting!
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Video - Godfather clip
Friday, November 06, 2009
Acts of Kindness . . .
Barbara Stone
Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Words of Wisdom
Take a deep breath. It calms the mind.
Get rid of anything that isn't useful, beautiful or joyful.
Over prepare, then go with the flow.
Pay off your credit cards every month
and from Barbara Young . . . low expectations = high satisfaction
Friday, October 23, 2009
Taxpayer Fraud
click here
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Is Gold Money?
Sunday, October 18, 2009
Fishing the Lower Sacramento River
Friday, October 16, 2009
Juan Rodrguez Cabrillo was the first reporter - in 1540
Dominic DiMaggio
Thursday, October 15, 2009
8" of rain during the storm
Friday, October 02, 2009
2010 Census Cautions
** If a U.S. Census worker knocks on your door, they will have a badge, a handheld device, a Census Bureau canvas bag, and a confidentiality notice. Ask to see their identification and their badge before answering their questions. However, you should never invite anyone you don't know into your home.
** Census workers are currently only knocking on doors to verify address information. Do not give your Social Security number, credit card or banking information to anyone, even if they claim they need it for the U.S. Census. While the Census Bureau might ask for basic financial information, such as a salary range, it will not ask for Social Security, bank account, or credit card numbers, nor will employees solicit donations.
Eventually, Census workers may contact you by telephone, mail, or in person at home. However, they will not contact you by Email, so be on the lookout for Email scams impersonating the Census.
Never click on a link or open any attachments in an Email that are supposedly from the U.S. Census Bureau.
For more advice on avoiding identity theft and fraud, visit www.bbb.org
Thursday, October 01, 2009
High Frequency Trading - is it bad for you?
Sunday, September 27, 2009
Poco - Pickin' Up the Pieces
Saturday, September 26, 2009
Yellowstone Caution
Sunday, September 20, 2009
Divisive Media Blowhards
Thursday, September 17, 2009
Healthcare around the world
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Randy Pausch
annoying telephone calls?
click here for CallFerret
Is the recession over? Bernanke thinks so . . . . who cares?
Ben Bernanke has declared the recession over.
This leads to one simple question: Why should you care what his recession forecasts are?
Based on his track record as a forecaster and his acumen in identifying economic problems before they exploded, his views on starts and finishes of recessions are, to be blunt, irrelevant.
Recall it was Mr. Bernanke who described the sub-prime situation as “Contained;” it was he who believed Housing would not spill over to the broader economy; and it was he who somehow thought the Bear Stearns situation was a one-off.
I don’t wish to single out Mr. Bernanke; After all, he is an economist, and if you were paying attention, you will note that the entire profession missed the oncoming recession, credit crisis and market collapse. You may also find it helpful to ignore what the profession that cannot forecast yesterday thinks about tomorrow.
Even now, the Federal Reserve Chairman said the recession was “very likely over” as consumers showed some of the first tangible signs of spending again. Never mind that all this retail activity has been driven by government subsidies.
Now, as an investor, you do want to be mindful of the Fed Chief’s economic views, particularly how they pertain to his interest rate policies. The ed has made it clear rates are staying low for the foreseeable future, so this becomes a non-issue in this context.
But his economic forecasts? Don’t bother.
Note that I have not been a particularly harsh critic of the Fed Chair. While he may not be Paul Volcker, he is also (thankfully) not Alan Greenspan. And we could have done much worse than having a student of the Great Depression, who is also an out-of-the-box thinker as Fed Chief.
But as a prognosticator? He is no better than his predeccessor . . .
Friday, September 11, 2009
Libertarian or Conservative
It’s a bit harder to define a conservative. Is it someone who atavistically just wants to conserve the existing order of things (either now, or perhaps as they perceived them 50, or 100, or 200, or however many years ago)? Or is a conservative someone who believes in limiting social freedoms (generally that means suppressing things like sex, drugs, outré clothing and customs, and bad- mouthing the government) while claiming to support economic freedoms (although with considerable caveats and exceptions)? It’s unclear to me what, if any, philosophical foundation conservatism, by whatever definition, rests on.
Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Insomnia explained
Friday, August 21, 2009
Some funnies
2. I thought I saw an eye doctor on an Alaskan island, but it turned out to be an optical Aleutian.
3. She was only a whiskey maker, but he loved her still.
4. A rubber band pistol was confiscated from algebra class because it was a weapon of math disruption.
5. A dog gave birth to puppies near the road and was cited for littering.
6. A grenade thrown into a kitchen in France would result in Linoleum Blownapart.
7. A hole has been found in the nudist camp wall. The police are looking into it.
8. Atheism is a non-prophet organization.
9. Two hats were hanging on a hat rack in the hallway. One hat said to The other, 'You stay here; I'll go on a head.'
10. I wondered why the baseball kept getting bigger. Then it hit me.
11. A small boy swallowed some coins and was taken to a hospital. When His grandmother telephoned to ask how he was, a nurse said, 'No change yet.'
12. The short fortune-teller who escaped from prison was a small medium at large
13. A backward poet writes inverse.
14. When cannibals ate a missionary, they got a taste of religion.
15. Don't join dangerous cults: Practice safe sects!
Thursday, August 20, 2009
Courage as described by Lance Armstrong
The definition of courage is: the quality of spirit that enables one to encounter danger with firmness and without fear.
Lance Armstrong . . . It’s Not About the Bike
Video - Bell, Book and Candle -
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Legalizing Marijuana
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Over 60? Don't worry about Swine Flu
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Confusing this with that
Thursday, July 23, 2009
Sunday, July 19, 2009
My new mandolin is ready
Monday, July 13, 2009
The Scientific Method
Wednesday, July 08, 2009
This morning at 4:05:06
THIS WILL NOT HAPPEN AGAIN UNTIL THE YEAR 3009!!
Tuesday, July 07, 2009
The Southern Cross - The Constellation Crux
Monday, July 06, 2009
Dolphins

from "Two Years Before the Mast" by Richard Henry Dana . . . . 'there is nothing more beautiful than the dolphin when swimming a few feet below the surface, on a bright day. It is the most elegantly formed and also the quickest fish in salt water; and the rays of the sun striking upon it, in its rapid and changing motions, reflected from the water, made it look like a stray beam from a a rainbow.'
photo taken on a return trip from the Channel Islands
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
Shibboleth
Shibboleth is any distinguishing practice which is indicative of one's social or regional origin. It usually refers to features of language, and particularly to a word whose pronunciation identifies its speaker as being a member or not a member of a particular group.


Click on the image to enlarge it