Tuesday, April 22, 2008
Monday, April 21, 2008
William C Moore - 80 years of surfing
Friday, April 18, 2008
60% of Americans are renters and they're not happy with government bailouts
Wednesday, April 16, 2008
NDFI . . . . ??? what's that?
NDFI is a acronym for "non deposit taking financial institution" and then there's this . . . .
Investment bank, hedge fund and broker balance sheets are about half the size of the commercial banks in the US and about one-quarter the size in Europe. Both assets and liabilities of NDFIs are dominated by repos, meaning that NDFIs lend and borrow based upon collateral of assets that are constantly marked to market. As asset prices fluctuate, leverage must constantly be adjusted.
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Doug Kass on "bullishness"
Which gets me back to the media and a recommendation that I respectfully suggest to every host on CNBC, Bloomberg and Fox Business Network -- when interviewing a member of the bullish cabal, ask the following questions:
- 1. What is your investment mandate?
2. Do you have the flexibility to raise or reduce the cash component of your portfolio?
3. What was your cash position two years ago, what was your cash position a year ago and what is your cash position today? And why were your cash positions at those levels?
4. Have you ever been bearish?
5. How have the deteriorating economic conditions and worsening profit picture affected your market and economic views?
6. What change in conditions from current expectations would lead to a further change in your market views?
I might add, in bull markets, the obligation of the media is to ask the bears the same questions.
Friday, April 11, 2008
quality forecasting by GE
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
another Warren Buffet quote
Tuesday, April 08, 2008
I love forescasters
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.'s estimated that the stocks will soar to $45 or more, while their colleagues at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecast that the shares will tumble to $16 or less.
I'm not kidding or making this up . . . . you just can't make up this stuff.
Friday, April 04, 2008
Why not live in your house for free
Borrowers in California who fight foreclosure can stretch the process to 18 months, said the chapter president of the California Association of Mortgage Brokers and president of Cal-Pro Mortgage Inc. in Stockton.
That doesn't take into account the woman he knows who hasn't made a mortgage payment in eight months and hasn't heard from her lender.
``Now she's afraid to mail in a payment for fear it'll come to somebody's attention,'' he said.
Thursday, April 03, 2008
Postdictive error
April 3 (Bloomberg) -- Bear Stearns Chief Executive Officer Alan Schwartz said the fifth-largest U.S. securities firm might have survived if the Federal Reserve had acted earlier to lend money directly to investment banks.
Since we can never know, it's totally ridiculous that a major media outlet would even give this type of thinking credibility by printing it. This is like me saying, I might not have been hurt walking down the street if the ball hadn't rolled in front of me . . . duh.Monday, March 31, 2008
UBS writing down another $18 billion
UBS is poised to reveal further writedowns of up to $18bn and seek a capital increase of about $13.1bn just weeks after shareholders approved a similar-sized injection from outside investors.
Sunday, March 30, 2008
Times they are a changin'
"I am pleased to extend you the opportunity to purchase two tickets to Opening Day," team Senior Vice President and General Counsel Jack Bair wrote to each of the 11 supervisors.
"As you may know, it has been our custom for many years to invite our public sector guests to the game and to our pregame party on a complimentary basis, as we do our sponsors and key vendors," Bair wrote.
He reminded the supervisors, however, that all that changed last year when the board adopted an ordinance prohibiting officials from accepting gifts from anyone doing business with the city.
"As a result, we are required by law to charge you for the value of the tickets and benefits received," Bair wrote, including "the approximate pro-rata cost of the food and refreshments offered at our pregame party."
From what we hear, all but two of board's 11 members have taken the Giants up on their offer, with most opting either for a pair of lower box tickets ($49 each) or club level seats ($82 each).
thanks to (SF Chronicle) Phillip Matier and Andrew Ross
Here's an Idea - Reform retirement-savings
It's time to convert retirement savings from an IRA to a Roth IRA model. Collect the estimated $5.8 trillion of deferred taxes now and apply this to resolving the Social Security and Medicare shortfalls.
If we wait, expect as much as half of that money to disappear. The Treasury and Congress can simplify rollovers from mediocre investment choices to brokerage accounts, and simplify conversions to Roth IRAs. This way, the government could collect trillions in deferred taxes before the money is lost to a bear market.
The rollover and conversion choices should be voluntary, and premature withdrawals should be discouraged. Investors would be wise to remember that the reason they lost money in the last bear market was the rigid buy-and-hold investment strategies forced on them by traditional advice.
Congress could provide incentives to simplify the process by spreading the taxes over a three to five-year period, capping the income-tax rate for Roth IRA conversions, and removing the current income and age tests to qualify. Savers should look before they leap, of course, but they should be allowed to "leap."
Saturday, March 29, 2008
British Airlines still has big problems
British Airways, based in London, has canceled more than 200 flights since the terminal opened March 27, after computer log-on failures for baggage handlers and delays at staff car parks sparked turmoil at the airport, Europe's busiest.
British Airways already is Europe's worst airline for lost luggage and the second-worst for delayed bags, according to the Air Transport Users Council. The flights canceled today were domestic or European. All long-haul services were scheduled to operate as normal, the airline said.
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Remembering William F Buckley, Jr
I've never read one of Buckley's books but I have subscribed to National Review and I rarely missed Firing Line. Buckley was funny, confronting, fascinating, consistent to the end and so smart. I really liked his used of the English language.
Then I found something on youtube that seemed to really align Buckley with me in which he said on Meet the Press in 1965, "I'd rather be governed by the first 2,000 people in the Boston telephone directory than the 2,000 people on the faculty of Harvard University."
Thank you Bill Buckley for living the great life.
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Lending Crisis?
Thursday, March 20, 2008
Joe Lewis (no not the boxer)
Lewis paid an average of $103.89 apiece for his 12.14 million Bear Stearns shares, according to yesterday's filing. He started accumulating most of his shares last July and has lost about $1.19 billion on the investment, or almost half his wealth, which Forbes magazine estimated at $2.5 billion in its 2007 survey.
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Back from Euorpe
Not a day after I arrived in Paris to spend two nights with my niece and her boyfriend (Greg), did Eliott Spitzer get embarrassed and resigned as NY Governor. This was quite a timely event in that Greg had worked on Spitzer's campaign and been an aide to the incoming David Paterson.
What was to come over the next 10 days was the financial meltdown of Bear Stearns, Carlisle Capital and Wall Street.
another story tomorrow.
Monday, March 03, 2008
Buffett and Dexter Shoes
In 1993, Berkshire paid $433 million for the Maine-based company. Rather than use cash, Buffett used Berkshire Class A stock to fund the purchase. That Berkshire stock is worth eight times more now, giving the Omaha, Nebraska-based insurance and investment company a $216 billion market value.
Dexter didn't make it that long. It ended shoe production in the United States and Puerto Rico in 2001, and Berkshire folded what was left into its H.H. Brown Shoe Group unit.
"What I had assessed as durable competitive advantage vanished within a few years," Buffett wrote on Friday. "By using Berkshire stock, I compounded this error hugely. That move made the cost to Berkshire shareholders not $400 million, but rather $3.5 billion. In essence, I gave away 1.6 percent of a wonderful business -- one now valued at $220 billion -- to buy a worthless business."
"To date, Dexter is the worst deal that I've made," Buffett went on. "But I'll make more mistakes in the future - you can bet on that. A line from Bobby Bare's country song explains what too often happens with acquisitions: 'I've never gone to bed with an ugly woman, but I've sure woke up with a few.'"
